SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Degerfors |
47.08% ( -0.62) | 26.07% ( 0.19) | 26.85% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( -0.44) | 53.6% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( -0.37) | 75.1% ( 0.38) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.46) | 22.76% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( -0.7) | 56.44% ( 0.7) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.12) | 34.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.13) | 71.73% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Degerfors |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.85% |
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