SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
19.91% ( 0) | 22.51% ( -0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 0.23) | 45.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( 0.22) | 68.09% ( -0.23) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% ( 0.14) | 37.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( 0.14) | 73.81% ( -0.15) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.09) | 15.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( 0.18) | 44.64% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.91% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 57.57% |
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