SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 22.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
54.06% ( -0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.01) | 22.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( -0.02) | 49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( -0.02) | 71.09% ( 0.02) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -0.02) | 18.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( -0.03) | 48.92% ( 0.03) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( 0.01) | 36.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( 0) | 73.51% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.04% |
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