SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldosivi | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
30% ( -0.22) | 28.37% ( 0.08) | 41.63% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.48% ( -0.35) | 60.52% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( -0.27) | 80.63% ( 0.27) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( -0.36) | 36.23% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( -0.37) | 73.01% ( 0.37) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( -0.1) | 28.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( -0.12) | 64.46% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldosivi | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 29.99% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 41.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
