SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
63.35% ( -0.19) | 23.4% ( 0.12) | 13.25% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.65% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.63% ( -0.28) | 59.38% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0.21) | 79.76% ( 0.21) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.17) | 18.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -0.29) | 49.67% ( 0.29) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.06) | 53.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.84% ( -0.04) | 87.16% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 16.79% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 14.18% 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.35% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 13.25% |
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