SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
40.17% ( 0.67) | 27.88% ( -0.17) | 31.95% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.51) | 58.26% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.4) | 78.89% ( -0.4) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.63) | 28.38% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% ( 0.79) | 64.12% ( -0.79) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.09) | 33.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( -0.09) | 70.22% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.95% |
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