SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
49.71% ( -0.68) | 26.52% ( 0.05) | 23.77% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.59% ( 0.29) | 57.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.78% ( 0.23) | 78.22% ( -0.23) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.18) | 23.18% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( -0.26) | 57.07% ( 0.26) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( 0.75) | 39.79% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( 0.69) | 76.46% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.48% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.38% Total : 23.77% |
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