There is quality on both sides, though neither have managed to bury their chances consistently, so we anticipate this will be a close game between two teams who are looking to keep pace in the early stages of this Primera Division phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Independiente
45.39% ( 0.56)	27.81% ( 0.4)	26.79% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 45.26% (

-1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.04% (

-1.87)

59.96% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.79% (

-1.45)

80.21% (

1.45)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0.58)

26.39% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45% (

-0.77)

61.54% (

0.77)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.49% (

-1.83)

38.51% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.74% (

-1.79)

75.25% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 45.38%

Independiente 26.79%

Draw 27.81%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 45.38%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.69) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.81%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.79%