There is quality on both sides, though neither have managed to bury their chances consistently, so we anticipate this will be a close game between two teams who are looking to keep pace in the early stages of this Primera Division phase.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
0.56) 
-0.96) 
