SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Platense |
51.27% ( 0.46) | 26.16% ( -0.2) | 22.57% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( 0.49) | 57.13% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( 0.39) | 78% ( -0.39) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.41) | 22.38% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 0.6) | 55.88% ( -0.6) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( 0.03) | 40.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( 0.03) | 77.37% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.57% |
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