Paranaense know how to handle the pressure of knockout games like this, and that experience should give them an edge in this decisive contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
34.76% ( 0.01)	28.64% ( 0)	36.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.41% (

-0.02)

60.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.31% (

-0.01)

80.68% (

0.01)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

32.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

69.43% (

-0)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.33% (

-0.02)

31.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

-0.02)

68.08% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 34.76%

Athletico Paranaense 36.59%

Draw 28.63%

Belgrano	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.76%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.63%	0-1 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.59%