SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Belgrano |
62.29% ( 0.05) | 22.65% ( -0.01) | 15.07% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.57% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.03) | 53.73% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% ( -0.03) | 75.21% ( 0.03) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0) | 16.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( 0.01) | 46.76% ( -0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.36% ( -0.07) | 47.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.03% ( -0.05) | 82.97% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 62.28% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.07% |
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