SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Patronato |
58.78% ( 0.04) | 23.95% ( -0.09) | 17.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% ( 0.37) | 55.12% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( 0.3) | 76.37% ( -0.31) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.15) | 18.56% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.26) | 49.81% ( -0.26) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.47% ( 0.28) | 45.53% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( 0.22) | 81.35% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Patronato |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 58.77% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.27% |
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