SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
62.22% ( 0.15) | 22.94% ( -0.1) | 14.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.26% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.29) | 55.2% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( 0.24) | 76.44% ( -0.24) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.15) | 17.34% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( 0.27) | 47.73% ( -0.27) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.11) | 48.87% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.14% ( 0.08) | 83.86% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 13% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.83% |
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