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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Sep 10, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
AT

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Tucuman

Bareiro (45+1')
Giay (69'), Cerutti (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carrera (44')
Capasso (53'), Tesuri (67'), Orihuela (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, September 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Banfield
Tuesday, September 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawAtletico Tucuman
47.63% (-0.17 -0.17) 28.24% (0.104 0.1) 24.14% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 42.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17% (-0.284 -0.28)62.84% (0.288 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.65% (-0.208 -0.21)82.35% (0.211 0.21)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)26.6% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.288 -0.29)61.83% (0.292 0.29)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)42.54% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (-0.084 -0.08)78.9% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 47.62%
    Atletico Tucuman 24.14%
    Draw 28.22%
San LorenzoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 14.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 24.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Monday, September 5 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Rosario
Saturday, August 27 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 San Lorenzo
Monday, August 22 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Platense
Tuesday, August 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 3-2 San Lorenzo
Saturday, August 13 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 7 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Banfield
Tuesday, September 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Tucuman
Sunday, August 28 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 4-0 Barracas Central
Wednesday, August 24 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Wednesday, August 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 C. Cordoba
Friday, August 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division


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