SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
47.63% ( -0.17) | 28.24% ( 0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.18% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.17% ( -0.28) | 62.84% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.65% ( -0.21) | 82.35% ( 0.21) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( -0.22) | 26.6% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( -0.29) | 61.83% ( 0.29) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.1) | 42.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.1% ( -0.08) | 78.9% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.09% Total : 24.14% |
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