SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.85%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Colon |
44.39% ( 1.69) | 31.59% ( 0.36) | 24.02% ( -2.05) |
| Both teams to score 34.79% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.07% ( -1.68) | 71.94% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.56% ( -1.05) | 88.45% ( 1.05) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( 0.07) | 32.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( 0.07) | 69.52% ( -0.07) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( -2.99) | 48.11% ( 2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( -2.28) | 83.32% ( 2.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 17.6% ( 1.1) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.62)2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.64% Total : 44.39% | 0-0 @ 15.85% ( 0.96) 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.25% Total : 31.58% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.29% Total : 24.02% |
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