SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Colon had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | River Plate |
27.35% ( 0.07) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 48.03% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.61% ( -0.04) | 47.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( -0.03) | 69.61% ( 0.03) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( 0.04) | 31.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( 0.04) | 67.66% ( -0.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.06) | 19.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -0.09) | 51.86% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.02% |
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