SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
39.99% ( -0.93) | 28.5% ( 0.04) | 31.5% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.07) | 60.56% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.33% ( 0.05) | 80.67% ( -0.05) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( -0.5) | 29.6% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -0.61) | 65.63% ( 0.61) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( 0.69) | 35.12% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( 0.72) | 71.87% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 31.5% |
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