SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | River Plate |
33.4% ( -0.15) | 27.16% ( 0.09) | 39.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.37) | 55.28% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( -0.3) | 76.5% ( 0.3) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.28) | 31.04% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( -0.33) | 67.36% ( 0.33) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.14) | 27.38% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.18) | 62.84% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.4% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.43% |
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