SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Banfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
39.26% ( 0.1) | 30.26% ( 0.11) | 30.48% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.81% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.63% ( -0.36) | 66.37% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.17% ( -0.25) | 84.83% ( 0.25) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.13) | 32.99% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -0.14) | 69.58% ( 0.15) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.36) | 39.09% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( -0.34) | 75.81% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.26% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.25% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 30.47% |
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