SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Colon |
33.05% ( -1.92) | 29.19% ( -0.86) | 37.76% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 44.16% ( 2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.4% ( 2.64) | 62.6% ( -2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.82% ( 1.88) | 82.18% ( -1.87) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( 0.09) | 35.09% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.16% ( 0.09) | 71.84% ( -0.08) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( 3.2) | 31.97% ( -3.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( 3.5) | 68.42% ( -3.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -1.18) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.15% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -1.15)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.45)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.76% |
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