SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 45.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
45.18% ( 0.07) | 29.13% ( -0.05) | 25.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.31% ( 0.13) | 64.69% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.33% ( 0.09) | 83.67% ( -0.09) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.1) | 28.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 0.13) | 64.59% ( -0.12) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.05) | 42.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% ( 0.05) | 78.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.13% Total : 25.68% |
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