SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 44.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.38%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Banfield |
44.16% ( -0.13) | 30.08% ( 0.01) | 25.76% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 39.06% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.03) | 67.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.49% ( 0.02) | 85.51% ( -0.02) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( -0.06) | 30.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( -0.07) | 66.89% ( 0.07) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.13) | 43.68% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( 0.11) | 79.86% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.83% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 44.16% | 0-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.07% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.75% |
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