SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
54.54% ( 0.48) | 26.05% ( -0.25) | 19.41% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.24% ( 0.58) | 59.75% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% ( 0.44) | 80.05% ( -0.44) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.45) | 22.07% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( 0.67) | 55.41% ( -0.67) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.07) | 45.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.52% ( 0.06) | 81.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.23% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.41% |
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