SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.34%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
44.35% ( 0.23) | 30.03% ( 0.17) | 25.62% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.72% ( -0.64) | 67.28% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.55% ( -0.43) | 85.45% ( 0.43) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.2) | 30.49% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -0.24) | 66.71% ( 0.23) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.25% ( -0.74) | 43.75% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.08% ( -0.62) | 79.92% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.84% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.22% Total : 44.35% | 0-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.87% Total : 25.61% |
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