Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.38%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
-0.13) 
0.05) 
