SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 36.77%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.97%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (13.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
36.77% ( 0.16) | 32.44% ( 0.06) | 30.78% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 35.91% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0.17) | 72.15% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.42% ( -0.1) | 88.58% ( 0.11) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( 0.01) | 37.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( 0.01) | 74.6% ( -0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.28) | 42.24% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% ( -0.24) | 78.65% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 15.53% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.77% | 0-0 @ 15.97% ( 0.1) 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.43% | 0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.77% |
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