Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barracas Central would win this match.
