Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
