Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
