Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
