Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
