SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 37.55%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.69%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
37.55% ( 2.14) | 31.56% ( 0.92) | 30.89% ( -3.07) |
| Both teams to score 37.87% ( -2.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.1% ( -2.84) | 69.9% ( 2.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.83% ( -1.87) | 87.17% ( 1.87) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.14) | 36.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( -0.14) | 72.79% ( 0.14) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( -3.93) | 40.81% ( 3.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( -3.72) | 77.39% ( 3.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 1.45) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.71)2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.55% | 0-0 @ 14.69% ( 1.46) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.55% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.68)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.3% Total : 30.89% |
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