SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 0-1 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Belgrano |
38.87% ( -0.04) | 29.95% ( 0.03) | 31.18% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.78% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.1) | 65.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.91% ( -0.07) | 84.09% ( 0.07) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.33% ( -0.07) | 32.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.78% ( -0.08) | 69.22% ( 0.08) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% ( -0.05) | 37.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% ( -0.05) | 74.71% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.93% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 31.18% |
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