SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Sarmiento |
47.23% ( -0.67) | 30.09% ( -0.05) | 22.67% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 36.78% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.07% ( 0.53) | 68.93% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.45% ( 0.34) | 86.55% ( -0.34) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.08) | 29.78% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -0.1) | 65.85% ( 0.1) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.38% ( 1.07) | 47.62% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.05% ( 0.78) | 82.95% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 17.17% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 47.22% | 0-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.28) 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.09% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.67% |
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