SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | River Plate |
20.35% ( -0.13) | 24.2% ( 0.06) | 55.44% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( -0.41) | 52.13% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( -0.36) | 73.84% ( 0.36) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( -0.38) | 40.21% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.34) | 76.84% ( 0.34) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.13) | 18.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -0.22) | 50.02% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 20.35% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.56% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.44% |
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