SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.23%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.32%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
42.23% ( 0.24) | 30.28% ( -0.1) | 27.49% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.58% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.75% ( 0.23) | 67.25% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.57% ( 0.15) | 85.43% ( -0.15) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( 0.25) | 31.68% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.29) | 68.1% ( -0.29) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.94% ( 0.01) | 42.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.51% ( 0.01) | 78.49% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.22% | 0-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.27% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 27.49% |
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