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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
51.27% ( -0.02) | 28.81% ( 0.21) | 19.92% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 36.72% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.72) | 67.43% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.44% ( -0.48) | 85.56% ( 0.48) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.35) | 26.99% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.46) | 62.34% ( 0.47) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.66) | 49.71% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.54% ( -0.47) | 84.45% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 1-0 @ 17.57% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 51.26% | 0-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.92% |
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