While Corinthians did manage to secure a crucial home win in the first leg, they were far from convincing and could find themselves in a very closely-contested battle in this one.
We expect the Argentine side to find the net at least once in the match, but the visitors should make it through to the next round, albeit by a very slender margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
