SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.22%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Talleres |
36.02% ( 0.06) | 29.95% ( 0.02) | 34.03% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.23% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.03% ( -0.08) | 64.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.13% ( -0.05) | 83.87% ( 0.05) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0) | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( -0) | 71.03% ( 0) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.1) | 35.69% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( -0.1) | 72.46% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.01% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 12.62% 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 34.02% |
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