SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
40.32% ( -0.33) | 29.36% ( -0.33) | 30.32% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 43.01% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.32% ( 1.19) | 63.67% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.05% ( 0.84) | 82.95% ( -0.84) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( 0.41) | 30.96% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( 0.48) | 67.26% ( -0.48) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 1.18) | 37.7% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( 1.14) | 74.48% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.31% |
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