SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Racing Club had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Racing Club win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
50.96% ( -0.52) | 25.92% ( 0.12) | 23.12% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% ( -0.09) | 55.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -0.07) | 76.93% ( 0.07) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.27) | 21.96% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.4) | 55.25% ( 0.41) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.34) | 39.5% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 0.32) | 76.19% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.12% |
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