SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
39.74% ( -1.98) | 27.55% ( 0.45) | 32.71% ( 1.53) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.09% ( -1.32) | 56.91% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.18% ( -1.07) | 77.82% ( 1.07) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -1.7) | 27.98% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( -2.22) | 63.62% ( 2.22) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( 0.39) | 32.34% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( 0.44) | 68.85% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.71% |
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