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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
32.69% ( -0.62) | 29.23% ( -0.07) | 38.08% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.15) | 62.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.69% ( 0.11) | 82.31% ( -0.11) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.36) | 35.45% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.37) | 72.21% ( 0.38) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.51) | 31.86% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( 0.58) | 68.3% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.07% |
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