SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Tigre |
39.53% ( 3.22) | 28.3% ( 1.21) | 32.17% ( -4.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -4.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.27% ( -5) | 59.73% ( 5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( -3.98) | 80.03% ( 3.98) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.53) | 29.46% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( -0.65) | 65.47% ( 0.65) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.8% ( -5.43) | 34.19% ( 5.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( -6.28) | 70.89% ( 6.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 1.99) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 1.12)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 1.75)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.64)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.92)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.79)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.52)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.16% |
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