SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Club Libertad |
45.24% ( -0.68) | 26.67% ( 0.16) | 28.08% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0.33) | 55.2% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( -0.27) | 76.44% ( 0.27) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( -0.47) | 24.32% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( -0.67) | 58.7% ( 0.67) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.23) | 34.85% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( 0.25) | 71.59% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Club Libertad |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.09% |
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