Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.
