SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | River Plate |
22.29% ( 0.72) | 24.31% ( 0.75) | 53.4% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% ( -2.3) | 50.41% ( 2.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% ( -2.07) | 72.34% ( 2.07) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.6) | 37.27% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -0.59) | 74.05% ( 0.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -1.41) | 18.81% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -2.41) | 50.24% ( 2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.29% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.4% |
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