Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.93%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
