SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 29.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Independiente |
40.62% ( 0.05) | 30.13% ( -0.11) | 29.26% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.73% ( 0.34) | 66.27% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.23% ( 0.23) | 84.77% ( -0.23) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.2) | 32.12% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.4% ( 0.23) | 68.6% ( -0.23) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( 0.25) | 40.01% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( 0.23) | 76.66% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 14.59% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.13% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 29.25% |
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