SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
49.8% ( 0.38) | 25.19% ( 0.33) | 25.01% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% ( -1.88) | 51.48% ( 1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -1.66) | 73.28% ( 1.66) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( -0.6) | 20.69% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( -0.95) | 53.28% ( 0.95) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -1.61) | 35.39% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -1.71) | 72.15% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.01% |
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